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Post by Deleted on Jul 24, 2019 1:48:07 GMT -5
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Jul 24 2019
Something Brewing in the Gulf of Mexico brewing between Tx and La
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Disorganized cloudiness and showers located over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico are associated with a frontal boundary. A non-tropical low is expected to form along this boundary tonight or Thursday, and environmental conditions could support some subtropical or tropical development late this week while the disturbance meanders near the northwestern Gulf Coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 24, 2019 15:13:14 GMT -5
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Jul 24 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Disorganized cloudiness and showers stretching over the northern Gulf of Mexico are associated with a frontal boundary. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form along this boundary tonight. Dry air and unfavorable upper-level winds, however, are likely to inhibit significant development during the next couple of days while the disturbance meanders near the northwestern Gulf Coast. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
Forecaster Brown
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Post by Deleted on Jul 26, 2019 10:17:44 GMT -5
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Jul 26 2019
For the North Atlantic an ALL CLEAR...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
Forecaster Avila
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Post by Deleted on Jul 27, 2019 5:23:00 GMT -5
ALL CLEAR AS OF 2:00 AM TODAY
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Post by Deleted on Jul 27, 2019 5:24:23 GMT -5
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Fri Jul 26 2019
Not so for the Pacific. For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Shower activity associated with an area of disturbed weather located a little more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is gradually becoming better organized. Environmental conditions are favorable for additional development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely form either late this weekend or early next week. This system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
2. An area of low pressure accompanied by disturbed weather is located a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form next week while the system moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
Forecaster Beven
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Post by Deleted on Jul 28, 2019 8:49:42 GMT -5
The Atlantic and Caribe are free of Threats ~
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Jul 28 2019
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Erick, located between Mexico and the Hawaiian Islands.
1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continue to show signs of organization. Conditions are conducive for continued development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form later today or on Monday while the low moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
Public Advisories on Erick are issued under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1. Forecast/Advisories on Erick are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1.
Forecaster Berg
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Post by Deleted on Jul 29, 2019 2:15:07 GMT -5
This Side of The World seeing some action, of course August almost here, it never fails !!!!
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Jul 29 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Showers and thunderstorms extending from the eastern Caribbean Sea to just north of the Leeward Islands are associated with a tropical wave. This disturbance is expected to move west-northwestward to northwestward across the north-central Caribbean Sea during the next few days, producing locally heavy rainfall and possibly some flooding across portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola. Little development of the disturbance, however, is likely during this time as upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive. The system is forecast to move near or over the Straits of Florida and the Bahamas by the end of the week, where environmental conditions could be a little more conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Latto/Pasch
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Post by Deleted on Jul 29, 2019 17:51:15 GMT -5
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Shower activity associated with a tropical wave over the eastern Caribbean Sea has decreased since yesterday. Atmospheric conditions as well as land effects should inhibit the development of this system as it moves west-northwestward for the next several days. This disturbance, however, could still produce an increase in cloudiness and thunderstorms over Puerto Rico, the Greater Antilles and portions of the Bahamas during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
Forecaster Avila
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Post by Deleted on Jul 30, 2019 3:08:23 GMT -5
Here comes August and the Summer Showers !!!
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2:00 AM EDT Tue Jul 30 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Shower activity associated with a tropical wave over the eastern Caribbean Sea remains disorganized. This system is expected to move west-northwestward with no significant development, producing locally heavy rainfall over Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and portions of the southeastern Bahamas during the next few days. Over the weekend, conditions could become marginally conducive for development when the disturbance moves near Florida and the central and northwestern Bahamas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
2. A tropical wave accompanied by a broad low pressure system is producing a large area of cloudiness and disorganized shower activity over the far eastern tropical Atlantic a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands. Upper-level winds are expected to be unfavorable for any significant development of this disturbance during the next few days. However, environmental conditions are forecast to become a little more conducive for development over the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Pasch
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Post by Deleted on Jul 30, 2019 7:38:09 GMT -5
Smack Directly S from Puerto Rico.
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 8:00 AM EDT Tue Jul 30 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A tropical wave located over the northeastern Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is expected to move west-northwestward with no significant development during the next few days, producing locally heavy rainfall over Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, Hispaniola, and portions of the southeastern Bahamas. Conditions could become marginally conducive for development by the weekend when the disturbance moves near Florida and northwestern Bahamas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
2. A tropical wave accompanied by a broad low pressure system continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and disorganized shower activity over the far eastern tropical Atlantic, a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands. No significant development of this system is expected for the next few days while the it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph. Upper-level winds could become more conducive for development by the weekend while the wave continues westward across the central Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Zelinsky
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Post by Deleted on Jul 31, 2019 5:45:08 GMT -5
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2:00 AM EDT Wed Jul 31 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A tropical wave continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Hispaniola, Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands. This disturbance is forecast to move northwestward to northward at about 10 mph during the next several days, producing locally heavy rainfall over portions of the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and Florida. Conditions could become marginally conducive for development over the weekend when the disturbance moves near Florida and the northwestern Bahamas and then turns northeastward over the western Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
2. A tropical wave located over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean, a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, continues to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. No significant development of this system is expected for the next few days while it moves westward at about 15 mph. Thereafter, upper-level winds are forecast to gradually become more conducive, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
Forecaster Berg
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Post by Deleted on Jul 31, 2019 14:13:17 GMT -5
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2:00 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. An area of disturbed weather stretching from Puerto Rico to the southeastern Bahamas is forecast to move northwestward to northward during the next couple of days, producing locally heavy rainfall over portions of the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas and Florida. Conditions could become marginally conducive for development over the weekend while the system turns and accelerates northeastward off the southeast U.S. coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
2. A broad area of shower and thunderstorm activity is associated with a tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Little to no development of the wave is expected for the next few days while it moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean at about 15 mph. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development over the weekend and a tropical depression could form by early next week several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
Forecaster Zelinsky
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Post by Deleted on Aug 1, 2019 4:57:26 GMT -5
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2:00 AM EDT Thu Aug 1 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. An area of disturbed weather stretching across Cuba and the Bahamas is forecast to move northwestward and then northward, producing locally heavy rainfall over portions of the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and Florida during the next few days. Conditions could become marginally conducive for development over the weekend while the system turns and accelerates northeastward off the southeastern U.S. coast. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
2. A broad low pressure system located about 900 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development is possible during the next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph across the central tropical Atlantic Ocean. Conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development over the weekend, and a tropical depression is likely to form by early next week several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
Forecaster Berg
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Post by Deleted on Aug 1, 2019 7:45:39 GMT -5
Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 8:00 AM EDT Thu Aug 1 2019
Corrected formatting in second paragraph.
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. An area of disturbed weather located near the northwestern Bahamas is forecast to move northward, producing locally heavy rainfall over portions of Cuba, the Bahamas, and Florida during the next day or two. Conditions could briefly become marginally conducive for development over the weekend before the system merges with a front and accelerates northeastward off the southeastern U.S. coast on Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
2. A broad low pressure system located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Only gradual development of this system is expected for the next day or so while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Environmental conditions could become more supportive by Saturday and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend, several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
Forecaster Zelinsky/McElroy
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Post by Deleted on Aug 1, 2019 15:01:47 GMT -5
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2:00 PM EDT Thu Aug 1 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. An area of disturbed weather spreading across south Florida and the Bahamas is forecast to move northward, producing additional locally heavy rainfall over portions of the Florida peninsula during the next day or two. Significant development of this system is not expected before it merges with a front and accelerates northeastward off the southeastern U.S. coast on Sunday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.
2. A broad low pressure system located about 1100 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Slow development of this system is expected during the next few days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, and a tropical depression is likely to form several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Environmental conditions are now forecast to become unfavorable for additional development by early next week as the system approaches the Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
Forecaster Zelinsky/McElroy
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