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Post by Deleted on May 20, 2019 12:44:31 GMT -5
The 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season is just 12 Days Away Folks .. (June 1st, 2019)
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Post by Deleted on May 20, 2019 16:05:57 GMT -5
Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 130 PM EDT Mon May 20 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of Bermuda are showing signs of organization. Although recent satellite wind data suggest that the system currently lacks a well-defined center of circulation, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for the formation of a short-lived subtropical or tropical cyclone later today or tonight. Conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for further development by late Tuesday, and the disturbance is expected to merge with a cold front on Wednesday. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is currently en route to investigate the disturbance. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued by 8 PM EDT today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
Forecaster Brown
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Post by Deleted on May 21, 2019 6:54:57 GMT -5
Tropical Storm ANDREA
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Tue May 21 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical Storm Andrea, located about 300 hundred miles southwest of Bermuda.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on June 1, 2019. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.
Forecaster Stewart
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Post by Deleted on May 21, 2019 15:17:59 GMT -5
As we all thought...fizzling out, but a very early reminder that the BEST IS YET TO COME in 2019 !!!
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Post by Deleted on May 22, 2019 6:27:09 GMT -5
ALL Clear after Andrea !!!!
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Post by Deleted on May 24, 2019 15:13:51 GMT -5
All Is CLEAR here by the Atlantic Basin.
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Tue May 21 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical Storm Andrea, located about 300 hundred miles southwest of Bermuda.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on June 1, 2019. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.
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Post by Deleted on May 25, 2019 8:20:13 GMT -5
There are no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic at this time. The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Just 7 days to Kick Off the Hurricanes Season And that is Not THE "U".
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Post by Deleted on May 27, 2019 9:54:26 GMT -5
5 days to go !!!
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Post by Deleted on May 29, 2019 6:15:46 GMT -5
3 days for the Media HYSTERIA in Florida. Every Year the same old song
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Post by Deleted on May 30, 2019 17:17:14 GMT -5
Down to 2 now
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Post by Deleted on May 31, 2019 7:05:10 GMT -5
MaƱana
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Post by Deleted on May 31, 2019 18:02:32 GMT -5
Special Tropical Weather Outlook.
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
220 PM EDT Fri May 31 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A broad area of low pressure accompanied by cloudiness and showers centered over the Yucatan Peninsula is forecast to move westward over the southern Bay of Campeche during the weekend. Some gradual development of this system is possible through early next week as long as it remains over water. Regardless of development, the disturbance will likely produce heavy rainfall over portions of southern Mexico during the next few days. Regular issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will begin at 2 AM EDT tonight with the beginning of the Atlantic hurricane season.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
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Post by Deleted on Jun 1, 2019 8:18:35 GMT -5
Tropical Weather Outlook.
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL.
800 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A broad area of low pressure located over the southern Bay of Campeche is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The low is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward across the southern Bay of Campeche toward the east coast of Mexico during the next few days. If the system remains over water, a tropical depression could form before it moves inland early next week. Regardless of development, the disturbance will likely produce heavy rainfall over portions of southern and southeastern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. ------------------------------------------------------------
Today marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season, which will run until November 30. Long-term averages for the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 12, 6, and 3, respectively.
The list of names for 2019 is as follows:
Name Pronunciation Name Pronunciation ------------------------------------------------------------- Andrea AN-dree-uh Lorenzo loh-REN-zoh Barry BAIR-ree Melissa meh-LIH-suh Chantal shahn-TAHL Nestor NES-tor Dorian DOR-ee-an Olga OAL-guh Erin AIR-rin Pablo PAHB-lo Fernand fair-NAHN Rebekah reh-BEH-kuh Gabrielle ga-bree-ELL Sebastien suh-BASH-chuhn Humberto oom-BAIR-toh Tanya TAHN-yuh Imelda ee-MEHL-dah Van van Jerry JEHR-ee Wendy WEN-dee Karen KAIR-ren
One named cyclone, Andrea, already formed this year in May. The next named storm that forms this season will be Barry.
This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for tropical cyclone formation during the next five days. The issuance times of this product are 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 AM, and 8 PM EDT. After the change to standard time in November, the issuance times are 1 AM, 7 AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST.
A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular Tropical Weather Outlooks.
A standard package of products, consisting of the tropical cyclone public advisory, the forecast/advisory, the cyclone discussion, and a wind speed probability product, is issued every six hours for all ongoing tropical cyclones. In addition, a special advisory package may be issued at any time to advise of significant unexpected changes or to modify watches or warnings.
The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of significant changes in a tropical cyclone or to post or cancel watches or warnings. It is used in lieu of or to precede the issuance of a special advisory package. Tropical Cyclone Updates, which can be issued at any time, can be found under WMO header WTNT61-65 KNHC, and under AWIPS header MIATCUAT1-5.
All National Hurricane Center text and graphical products are available on the web at www.hurricanes.gov. You can also interact with NHC on Facebook at www.facebook.com/NWSNHC. Notifications are available via Twitter when select National Hurricane Center products are issued. Information about our Atlantic Twitter feed (@nhc_Atlantic) is available at www.hurricanes.gov/twitter.shtml.
Forecaster Cangialosi
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Post by Deleted on Jun 2, 2019 6:37:28 GMT -5
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A low pressure system located over the southern Bay of Campeche has changed little in organization since yesterday. This system is expected to move slowly northwestward toward the coast of Mexico, and it could become a tropical cyclone before it moves inland in a day or two. Regardless of development, the disturbance will likely produce heavy rainfall over portions of southern and eastern Mexico during the next few days. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance later today, if necessary. Interests along the Gulf coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
Forecaster Zelinsky
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Post by Deleted on Jun 3, 2019 5:45:20 GMT -5
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Jun 3 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Showers and thunderstorms have increased since yesterday in association with a broad area of low pressure over the Bay of Campeche. However, recent satellite wind data show the low does not have a well-defined circulation. This system is expected to move slowly northwestward toward the northeastern coast of Mexico, and may become a tropical cyclone before it moves inland in a day or two. Regardless of development, the disturbance will likely produce heavy rainfall over portions of southern and eastern Mexico during the next few days. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft will investigate the disturbance this afternoon, if necessary. Interests along the Gulf coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
Forecaster Beven
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