2019 Hurricane Season for us, here in North AMerica

The Pacific EXPLODING 1st This Early Season.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Jul 1 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Barbara, located more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula.

1. An area of low pressure is expected to form later this week several
hundred miles southwest of the southern coast of Mexico.
Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for the
development of a tropical depression over the weekend while the
system moves westward to west-northwestward at about 15 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Berg

Pacific Action:

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Wed Jul 3 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Barbara, located about 1300 miles west-southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula.

1. A tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms several hundred miles south of the coast of
southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
form this weekend. This disturbance is expected to move
west-northwestward at about 15 mph well off the coast of Mexico for
the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi

Pacific Remains Buzy.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

500 AM PDT Sat Jul 6 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Barbara, located about midway between the Baja California
peninsula and Hawaii.

1. Satellite images indicate that the area of low pressure located
several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula is becoming better defined, and is close
to becoming a tropical storm. Advisories will likely be initiated
on this system later this morning while the system moves
west-northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is expected to form early next week several
hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Some gradual
development is possible thereafter while the system moves westward
to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

For more information on disturbance south of the Baja California
peninsula see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php or under
AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02KWBC

Forecaster Blake

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Jul 8 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A trough of low pressure located over the southeastern United States
is forecast to move southward toward the northeastern Gulf of
Mexico, where a broad area of low pressure will likely form in a
couple of days. Some gradual development is possible thereafter and
a tropical depression could form by the end of the week while the
low meanders near the northern Gulf Coast. Regardless of
development, this system has the potential to produce heavy rainfall
along portions of the northern U.S. Gulf Coast later this week. For
more information about the rainfall threat, please see products
issued by your local weather forecast office and the Weather
Prediction Center. Interests along the northern Gulf Coast and
Florida peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Latto/Pasch

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jul 8 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A trough of low pressure located over central Georgia is forecast
to move southward toward the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, where a
broad area of low pressure is expected to form on Wednesday.
Environmental and ocean conditions are forecast to be conducive for
development and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end
of the week while the low moves slowly westward over northern Gulf
of Mexico. Regardless of development, this system has the potential
to produce heavy rainfall along portions of the northern and eastern
U.S. Gulf Coast later this week. For more information about the
rainfall threat, please see products issued by your local weather
forecast office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center. Interests
along the Gulf Coast from the Upper Texas coast to the western
Florida peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Stewart

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 AM EDT Wed Jul 10 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad low pressure area located over the far northeastern Gulf of
Mexico is producing widespread but disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for
development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to
form late today or Thursday while the low moves slowly westward
across the northern Gulf of Mexico. An Air Force Reserve Unit
reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance
this afternoon. This system could produce storm surge and tropical
storm or hurricane force winds across portions of the Louisiana,
Mississippi and Upper Texas coasts, and interests there should
closely monitor its progress. In addition, this disturbance has the
potential to produce very heavy rainfall from the Upper Texas Coast
to the Florida Panhandle. For more information, please see products
issued by your local weather forecast office and the NOAA Weather
Prediction Center.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Pasch